Deruta vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
DER
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
ACM
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SCA
1 - 0
DER
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
CLZ
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
DER
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 0
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
ACM
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SCA
2 - 2
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |