Deruta vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
DER
57%
23%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
JMO
2 - 0
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DER
0 - 2
PIA
25%
26%
50%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 1
DER
36%
27%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DER
1 - 2
SAN
36%
27%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FIE
1 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 1
ANC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
OST
2 - 1
FIE
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FIE
0 - 2
SCA
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VFC
1 - 0
FIE
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |