Deruta vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PIA
5 - 2
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
ASD
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
DER
2 - 2
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 3
SCA
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 0
FIE
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 1
LAN
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 0
FIE
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FIE
4 - 0
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |