Deruta vs ASD Sporting Terni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
DER
2 - 2
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
CAS
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
DER
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
PIE
53%
23%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 0
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 1
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
ASD
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAS
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |