Deruta vs ASD Sporting Terni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
DER
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
ACM
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SSD
1 - 1
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SCA
1 - 0
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASD
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ASD
3 - 2
FOR
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASD
63%
21%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 1
VOL
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |