Derthona vs Bellinzago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
DER
81%
14%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAB
2 - 0
DER
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
ASD
18%
23%
59%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
DER
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 1
LAV
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BEL
4 - 3
ARG
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SET
3 - 2
BEL
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 2
SES
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |