Derthona vs Bellinzago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 2
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
SES
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
RAB
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
BOR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 0
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 4
CHI
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
BEL
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
SET
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |