Derthona vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+259%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 0
DER
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
ACQ
36%
27%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
CHI
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SET
6 - 0
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
BEL
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAV
0 - 3
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 2
LAV
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LAV
0 - 0
SES
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
LAV
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |