Derthona vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 2
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DER
0 - 2
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
DER
2 - 1
TRE
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
DER
2 - 0
FOL
37%
28%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LAV
2 - 1
CHI
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 0
LAV
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAV
2 - 0
VER
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GOZ
1 - 1
LAV
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LAV
2 - 2
ASD
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |