Derthona vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+249%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
4 - 1
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
DER
58%
21%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DER
0 - 2
VER
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
AST
1 - 0
DER
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
ALB
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAV
2 - 1
VER
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
LAV
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
LAV
3 - 1
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 1
CHI
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
ACQ
2 - 1
LAV
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |