Derthona vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+249%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 0
DER
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DER
0 - 0
ACD
21%
25%
53%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIG
2 - 2
DER
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
CHI
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
SET
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LAV
1 - 0
ASC
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SET
0 - 0
LAV
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LAV
2 - 2
SCC
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAA
3 - 2
LAV
27%
25%
47%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LAV
0 - 1
ACQ
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |