Derthona vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
DER
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
ACS
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
LAV
3 - 4
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
DER
57%
25%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 1
ASD
69%
19%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BOR
0 - 1
GOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PDH
1 - 1
GOZ
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
GOZ
0 - 0
ACS
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |