Derthona vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
DER
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DER
0 - 0
VER
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
DER
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DER
1 - 0
ASD
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GOZ
1 - 4
BOR
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SES
2 - 0
GOZ
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GOZ
5 - 3
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
GOZ
55%
23%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
GOZ
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |