Derthona vs Fossano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
ASD
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 0
DER
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DER
4 - 2
PRO
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 1
DER
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
AST
50%
22%
27%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOS
63%
22%
16%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOS
0 - 1
PDH
23%
20%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VFC
2 - 2
FOS
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FOS
1 - 3
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SNR
0 - 0
FOS
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |