Derthona vs Chiavari Caperana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 0
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DER
0 - 1
ACQ
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VIG
2 - 2
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
DER
3 - 1
CHI
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AST
3 - 0
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
LAV
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 1
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VAO
2 - 1
CHI
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
BAA
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |