Derthona vs Albese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
DER
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DER
3 - 0
ACQ
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 0
DER
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DER
3 - 0
BOR
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 3
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Albese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AST
0 - 0
ALB
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
VER
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
ACQ
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 1
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |