Derry City vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
DRO
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
DER
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
KUO
3 - 3
DER
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DER
2 - 1
KUO
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
ATH
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 1
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
DER
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 2
KAI
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
TOB
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |