Derry City vs Monaghan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2002 |
BOH
1 - 0
DER
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
CAO
1 - 0
DER
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2001 |
DER
1 - 1
DUN
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2001 |
DER
2 - 0
GAL
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UCD
2 - 2
DER
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MON
1 - 0
SHE
21%
25%
55%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 0
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
MON
2 - 2
CAO
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
BRW
5 - 0
MON
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MON
0 - 2
LON
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |