Derry City vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 1
DER
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
CAO
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
STP
3 - 0
DER
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SHE
0 - 2
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LIM
4 - 0
MER
78%
16%
6%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 4
MER
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
FIN
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LON
2 - 0
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |