Derry City vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
LON
1 - 1
DER
14%
24%
62%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
DER
2 - 2
ATH
74%
19%
7%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 0
DER
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
DER
0 - 1
CAO
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
MER
1 - 6
WAT
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
CAO
2 - 1
MER
70%
21%
10%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MER
2 - 5
WEX
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 0
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
LIM
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |