Derry City vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 2
DER
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LON
0 - 1
DER
31%
30%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
DER
3 - 1
SLR
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
DER
2 - 0
UCD
65%
23%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
STP
3 - 0
BRW
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
BRW
0 - 0
CAO
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
UCD
4 - 1
BRW
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
BRW
1 - 2
STP
46%
24%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
DRO
1 - 0
BRW
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |