Derry City vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
CAO
0 - 1
DER
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
DER
0 - 0
STP
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
FIN
2 - 2
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
DER
2 - 0
UCD
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
DER
1 - 0
WAT
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1999 |
SHR
0 - 0
BRW
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1999 |
BRW
1 - 3
CAO
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
SLR
0 - 0
BRW
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1999 |
BRW
0 - 0
FIN
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
BRW
0 - 0
UCD
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |