Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2008 |
DER
4 - 0
BRW
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
SLR
0 - 0
DER
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
DER
4 - 1
BOH
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2008 |
DER
0 - 3
STP
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
DRO
0 - 1
DER
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2008 |
BRW
0 - 2
BOH
29%
29%
43%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
BOH
2 - 1
FKR
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 0
BOH
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
DER
4 - 1
BOH
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
RHY
2 - 4
BOH
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |