Derio vs Urduliz FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
JUV
43%
28%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LFT
1 - 1
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
SOD
14%
24%
62%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
GAT
28%
28%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Urduliz FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
URD
0 - 1
CDP
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 2
URD
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
URD
1 - 1
IUR
23%
24%
53%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
APU
4 - 0
URD
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RET
3 - 3
URD
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |