Derio vs Ugeraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RET
4 - 3
DER
31%
28%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DER
3 - 2
URD
43%
24%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SDE
0 - 0
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DER
3 - 1
LFT
68%
19%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ugeraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SDU
1 - 1
LFT
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 0
SDU
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SDU
2 - 1
CDL
43%
25%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
IUR
0 - 0
SDU
63%
22%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SDU
1 - 1
ZKE
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |