Derio vs Trapagaran CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
CDP
20%
24%
56%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
DER
60%
22%
17%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
IUR
20%
28%
53%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
APU
0 - 0
DER
77%
16%
7%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DER
0 - 1
RET
27%
30%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trapagaran CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 0
TCF
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TCF
0 - 1
CDP
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 0
TCF
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TCF
2 - 2
GAL
32%
25%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
URD
1 - 0
TCF
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |