Derio vs Sondika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DER
0 - 2
URD
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
JUV
43%
28%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LFT
1 - 1
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sondika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CDS
0 - 0
CDP
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 0
CDS
37%
27%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CDS
3 - 2
IUR
42%
28%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
APU
1 - 0
CDS
39%
27%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CDS
3 - 0
RET
53%
27%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |