Derio vs Sodupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
62%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
GAT
28%
28%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TCF
1 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
CDP
2 - 0
DER
56%
23%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
GAL
33%
28%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
IUR
1 - 1
DER
56%
26%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sodupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 2
SOD
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SOD
5 - 0
GAL
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
IUR
0 - 4
SOD
37%
28%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SOD
1 - 1
APU
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RET
2 - 2
SOD
36%
27%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |