Derio vs SD Indautxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
SOD
31%
27%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 1
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
CDE
43%
26%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
DER
2 - 2
URD
62%
22%
17%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CDP
1 - 0
DER
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Indautxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CDP
1 - 0
SDI
70%
19%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SDI
2 - 2
IUR
25%
24%
51%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
DEU
3 - 0
SDI
77%
17%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SDI
2 - 2
ZET
49%
26%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
SDI
83%
12%
4%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |