Derio vs SD Basurto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SDS
0 - 2
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
DER
2 - 0
CLU
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RET
0 - 1
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DER
0 - 2
DEU
36%
26%
38%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
DER
0 - 2
SOD
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
SD Basurto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SDB
4 - 2
ZET
30%
26%
45%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 1
SDB
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SDB
0 - 0
BER
39%
26%
36%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
APU
1 - 2
SDB
64%
20%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SDB
0 - 3
SDU
38%
26%
36%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |