Derio vs Lekeitio FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SOD
2 - 0
DER
53%
26%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SOD
1 - 2
DER
59%
24%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
GAT
31%
28%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CDE
0 - 0
DER
56%
24%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
URD
2 - 0
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lekeitio FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LFT
0 - 0
CDP
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LFT
4 - 4
BSD
67%
18%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
UCD
2 - 3
LFT
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SDS
0 - 1
LFT
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LFT
3 - 1
AKE
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |