Derio vs Gallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
IUR
1 - 1
DER
56%
26%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
APU
31%
28%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RET
3 - 0
DER
54%
25%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
CDL
31%
27%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 2
DER
52%
27%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 3
CDP
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 2
TCF
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
IUR
0 - 1
GAL
49%
27%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
APU
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RET
0 - 1
GAL
50%
25%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |