Derio vs CD Loiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
IUR
0 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DER
6 - 3
ZKE
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CDE
2 - 0
DER
37%
28%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DER
0 - 1
GAL
72%
20%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DER
3 - 1
SDS
29%
27%
45%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Loiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CDL
1 - 0
LFT
55%
23%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
CDL
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SDE
3 - 0
CDL
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CDL
0 - 0
IUR
30%
29%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CDL
2 - 0
ZKE
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |