Derio vs CD Galea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ZET
2 - 2
DER
54%
24%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SDM
0 - 1
DER
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
CDL
40%
25%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CDB
2 - 0
DER
28%
25%
46%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
DER
0 - 0
GAT
41%
25%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Galea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CDG
1 - 3
DEU
25%
25%
50%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CDG
0 - 3
SNT
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDS
0 - 1
CDG
65%
20%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CDG
1 - 0
CDG
29%
24%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
IUR
4 - 1
CDG
67%
20%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |