Derio vs CD Elorrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SDE
2 - 1
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
CDS
17%
26%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DER
0 - 2
URD
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Elorrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
CDP
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
CDE
57%
23%
19%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 0
IUR
27%
28%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APU
1 - 1
CDE
65%
21%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
RET
41%
29%
30%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |