Derio vs CD Basconia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 2
DER
51%
25%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
SDE
32%
26%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CDG
1 - 0
DER
60%
24%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DER
1 - 0
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CDE
0 - 0
DER
35%
27%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
CDB
1 - 1
DEU
30%
26%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SNT
3 - 1
CDB
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CDB
2 - 1
CDS
34%
24%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CDG
0 - 0
CDB
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CDB
0 - 1
IUR
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |