Derio vs Arratia CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
DER
66%
21%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
LFT
20%
22%
57%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SOD
2 - 0
DER
53%
26%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SOD
1 - 2
DER
59%
24%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
GAT
31%
28%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arratia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 1
CDP
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 2
ACD
31%
23%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 0
IUR
54%
22%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CDG
2 - 0
ACD
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ACD
4 - 1
SIG
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |