Derio vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GAT
4 - 0
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
SDU
60%
24%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RET
4 - 3
DER
31%
28%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DER
3 - 2
URD
43%
24%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
APU
3 - 0
LFT
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 2
APU
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
APU
2 - 3
CDL
50%
25%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
IUR
1 - 1
APU
60%
23%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
APU
2 - 1
ZKE
43%
22%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |