Derio vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RET
3 - 0
DER
54%
25%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
CDL
31%
27%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 2
DER
52%
27%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
SDE
53%
26%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CDS
1 - 0
DER
45%
28%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
APU
2 - 2
CDP
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
APU
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
APU
0 - 2
IUR
47%
26%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
APU
1 - 0
TCF
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RET
0 - 0
APU
45%
26%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |