Derio vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SDI
0 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
DER
3 - 0
SDM
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CDL
2 - 1
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DER
0 - 0
CDB
57%
23%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 2
DER
51%
25%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
APU
0 - 3
CDP
61%
21%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
APU
1 - 1
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SDU
1 - 2
APU
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
APU
4 - 1
ZET
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CLU
2 - 0
APU
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |