Derio vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SDS
1 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
DER
2 - 2
SFC
22%
23%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SDU
2 - 0
DER
34%
27%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
DER
2 - 0
ZET
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
APU
1 - 1
SDU
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 2
APU
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
APU
2 - 1
CLU
47%
25%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CDS
0 - 2
APU
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
APU
0 - 0
GAL
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |