Derio vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SDU
1 - 0
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DER
0 - 0
BER
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BFC
2 - 0
DER
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
DER
2 - 2
SOD
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RET
2 - 0
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
APU
1 - 0
CDS
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CLU
1 - 0
APU
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
APU
2 - 1
SDS
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 2
APU
43%
25%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
APU
0 - 0
GAL
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |