Derio vs Apurtuarte Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DER
1 - 0
DEU
32%
28%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SNT
1 - 2
DER
74%
18%
9%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DER
1 - 2
CDS
40%
26%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CDG
2 - 0
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
DER
0 - 2
IUR
43%
25%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Apurtuarte Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
APU
3 - 0
SDM
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DEU
0 - 1
APU
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
APU
2 - 1
CDL
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SNT
2 - 2
APU
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
APU
0 - 0
CDB
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |