Dergview FC vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
2º
1º
53
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
41 | 9 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 8 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 8 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
53 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
HAR
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 0
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DER
2 - 3
DUN
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 1
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 1
KNO
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NEY
4 - 1
BAL
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 2
BAL
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 2
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |