Dereham Town vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DER
3 - 1
YEL
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
DER
20%
21%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
HAR
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 2
DER
34%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WRO
3 - 1
DER
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 3
SOH
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 4
TIL
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 3
GRE
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NEE
2 - 1
WAL
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 1
WRO
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |