Dereham Town vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
10º
18º
17º
51
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
DER
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DER
6 - 2
YAX
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
5 - 0
DER
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DER
3 - 2
HAR
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DER
2 - 3
CHA
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 0
LOU
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SHE
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 3
SHE
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SHE
3 - 1
STN
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
3 - 0
SUT
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |