Dereham Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
10º
18º
17º
38
8º
19º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
0 - 1
DER
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
DER
0 - 2
SPA
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DER
0 - 1
BIG
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DAV
2 - 0
DER
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
GRE
44%
21%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STA
1 - 1
GRE
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |