Derby County U23 vs Southampton U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 3
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
LEI
4 - 1
DER
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
WOL
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BHA
1 - 2
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
DER
4 - 1
EVE
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Southampton U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
MCI
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 4
BHA
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
LEI
3 - 0
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 3
BLA
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |