Derby County U23 vs Reading U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
DER
1 - 3
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
TOT
42%
25%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
DER
2 - 3
MCI
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reading U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
REA
2 - 1
CHE
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
REA
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
REA
3 - 2
MCI
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
REA
1 - 4
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 2
REA
64%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +4 |