Derby County U23 vs Blackburn Rovers U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 1
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 3
CPA
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 0
DER
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
TOT
3 - 1
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
CPA
1 - 2
BLA
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
BLA
2 - 2
LIV
45%
23%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
3 - 0
BLA
54%
22%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 1
BLA
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
4 - 4
BLA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |